- In the following example, you are shown a forecast for a tavern in the Midwest. It has 14 bar stools and six 4-top tables, for a total seating of 38 people at any one time. Of course, in bars, people do stand and drink during peak times, so we've taken that into account as well.
- : The tide now in Bar Harbor, ME is rising.Next high tide is 10:15 pm.Next low tide is 4:30 am.Sunset today is 5:49 PM.Sun rise tomorrow is 6:48 AM.The moon phase is New Moon tonight.
Fog.
Get Our PREMIUM Forecast Now, from ONLY $5.99! - Try Now Risk-Free - Money-back guarantee! Home; US Stock Forecast. US Stock Market Stock Forecast US Share Price.
Feels Like: 10 °C
Forecast: 16 / 6 °C
Wind: 13 km/h ↑ from South
| Location: | Bangor International Airport |
|---|---|
| Current Time: | 24 Oct 2020, 07:21:13 |
| Latest Report: | 24 Oct 2020, 06:53 |
| Visibility: | 5 km |
| Pressure | 1014 mbar |
| Humidity: | 93% |
| Dew Point: | 11 °C |
Bar Harbor Extended Forecast with high and low temperatures
2 Week Extended Forecast in Bar Harbor, Maine, USA
Scroll right to see more| Conditions | Comfort | Precipitation | Sun | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day | Temperature | Weather | Feels Like | Wind | Humidity | Chance | Amount | UV | Sunrise | Sunset | |
| Sat 24 Oct | 16 / 6 °C | Overcast. | 13 °C | 14 km/h | ↑ | 79% | 6% | - | 0(Low) | 07:00 | 17:33 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 8 / 0 °C | Mostly sunny. | 4 °C | 12 km/h | ↑ | 45% | 3% | - | 0(Low) | 07:01 | 17:31 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 7 / -3 °C | Light mixture of precip. Overcast. | 3 °C | 11 km/h | ↑ | 82% | 77% | 8.2 mm | 0(Low) | 07:02 | 17:30 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 8 / 3 °C | Sprinkles late. Decreasing cloudiness. | 3 °C | 13 km/h | ↑ | 72% | 57% | 0.8 mm | 0(Low) | 07:04 | 17:28 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 7 / -2 °C | Light rain late. Increasing cloudiness. | 3 °C | 11 km/h | ↑ | 65% | 63% | 1.2 mm | 0(Low) | 07:05 | 17:27 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 9 / 4 °C | Sprinkles late. Cloudy. | 7 °C | 11 km/h | ↑ | 68% | 62% | 1.2 mm | 0(Low) | 07:06 | 17:25 |
| Fri 30 Oct | 5 / -1 °C | Overcast. | 0 °C | 12 km/h | ↑ | 45% | 6% | - | 0(Low) | 07:08 | 17:24 |
| Sat 31 Oct | 6 / -5 °C | Decreasing cloudiness. | 4 °C | 11 km/h | ↑ | 36% | 5% | - | 3(Moderate) | 07:09 | 17:22 |
| Sun 1 Nov | 9 / -2 °C | Sprinkles late. Afternoon clouds. | 4 °C | 14 km/h | ↑ | 58% | 47% | 0.5 mm | 0(Low) | 06:10 | 16:21 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 12 / 6 °C | Light showers. Overcast. | 10 °C | 6 km/h | ↑ | 82% | 67% | 4.6 mm | 0(Low) | 06:12 | 16:20 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 9 / -1 °C | Clearing skies. | 6 °C | 20 km/h | ↑ | 38% | 50% | 1.5 mm | 3(Moderate) | 06:13 | 16:18 |
| Wed 4 Nov | 9 / -1 °C | Light snow. Broken clouds. | 8 °C | 9 km/h | ↑ | 63% | 54% | 7.8 mm | 0(Low) | 06:14 | 16:17 |
| Thu 5 Nov | 9 / -1 °C | Broken clouds. | 6 °C | 13 km/h | ↑ | 63% | 6% | - | 0(Low) | 06:16 | 16:16 |
| Fri 6 Nov | 6 / 0 °C | Sunny. | 3 °C | 12 km/h | ↑ | 58% | 4% | - | 3(Moderate) | 06:17 | 16:14 |
| Sat 7 Nov | 10 / -2 °C | Light icy mix late. Increasing cloudiness. | 7 °C | 19 km/h | ↑ | 69% | 51% | 0.5 mm | 0(Low) | 06:18 | 16:13 |
| * Updated Saturday, 24 October 2020 05:22:38 Bar Harbor time - Weather by CustomWeather, © 2020 |
Measuring Forecast Accuracy
How Do We Measure Forecast Accuracy?
Measures of Forecast Accuracy
Mean Forecast Error (MFE)
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Tracking Signal
Other Measures Do you need wifi to play sims 4.
How Do We Measure Forecast Accuracy?
- Used to measure:
- Forecast model bias
- Absolute size of the forecast errors
- Can be used to:
- Compare alternative forecasting models
- Identify forecast models that need adjustment (management by exception)
Measures of Forecast Accuracy
Error = Actual demand – Forecast
OR
et = At – Ft
https://hereufile669.weebly.com/office-365-para-mac-full-mega.html. h2. Mean Forecast Error (MFE)
For n time periods where we have actual demand and forecast values:
Google task manager. Ideal value = 0;
MFE > 0, model tends to under-forecast
MFE < 0, model tends to over-forecast Assassins creed 2 pc.
h2. Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
For n time periods where we have actual demand and forecast values:
While MFE is a measure of forecast model bias, MAD indicates the absolute size of the errors
Forecast Bar 2 7 25
Example
| Period | Demand | Forecast | Error | Absolute Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 13.5 | -2.5 | 2.5 |
| 4 | 9 | 13 | -4.0 | 4.0 |
| 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5 | 1.5 |
| 7 | 14 | 9 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| 8 | 12 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| n = 6 observations | Period | Demand | Forecast | Error | Absolute Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 13.5 | -2.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 13 | -4.0 | 4.0 | |
| 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 7 | 14 | 9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| 8 | 12 | 11 | |||
| -2 | 14 |
MFE = -2/6 = -0.33
MAD = 14/6 = 2.33
Forecast Bar 2 7 24
Conclusion: Model tends to slightly over-forecast, with an average absolute error of 2.33 units.
h2. Tracking Signal
Forecast Bar 2 7 20
Used to pinpoint forecasting models that need adjustment Pull tube 1 0 1 – video downloader free.
Rule of Thumb:
As long as the tracking signal is between –4 and 4, assume the model is working correctly
h2. Other Measures
- CATEGORIES:
- Forecasting,
